Re: Caribbean Disturbance
Posted by LawKat on 6/21/2012, 2:23 pm
I take strength with a grain of salt on the models.

However, the local Mobile NWS is hedging its bets on the current high over the central Gulf moving or fading, and the trough pulling the system north and northeast, leaving the panhandle westward, on the far west side of this system.  

I don't know what I think.  For any of those scenarios to be valid RIGHT NOW, you would need this system to stall for around 3 days.  Does that happen?  Hard for me to envision that playing out, but quite plausible, I'm sure.

I have my early money either west of Morgan City down to northern Mexico, or east of Appalachicola down to Fort Myers.

Either one pans out, I think.
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Caribbean Disturbance - Jake, 6/19/2012, 8:52 pm
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