Re: Bryan Norcross' has a new blog on WU
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 9/8/2012, 12:47 am
When I had read his blog I was rather surprised by what he had said. NOAA is trying to work on storm surge products. It's simply difficult to make that very easy. There are way too many variables. That is one issue that will always remain somewhat complex to cover.

I didn't like some of what he had to say here:


"The NHC's system for disseminating the forecast is archaic and relies on the media to sort it out and get it right, but the content was all there.

In the Hurricane Center advisory, the critical storm surge forecast was buried toward the bottom of the text. In newspaper terms, that's like putting the main headline in the sports section. The discussion of the scope of the impact of the storm related to its large size was relegated to the somewhat technical "Discussion". And more key pieces of information are scattered hither and yon.

It's up to the media to assemble a precise, informed, and consistent message from the torrent of good information that comes out of the National Hurricane Center. It's hard for us at The Weather Channel to digest it all at advisory time, and we've got more meteorologists that you can shake a stick at. Four of us on the Tropical Team were working on it Tuesday evening at landfall, and it was still hard. And nobody else has close to our resources.

And then there's the local National Weather Service offices. They, too, make excellent forecasts, but their communications systems seem doubly determined to make it difficult to find out what they are forecasting. The bottom line, if it takes more than one click to find critical information for Tampa or Mobile or Slidell or anywhere else, the system is broken."


I like how the public advisory is structured now. If you want to know the storm surge impacts you know where to go in the advisory. I found it very easy to see the storm surge impacts and I don't have a team of meteorologists looking for it.

As for local forecast offices, their web pages are getting better. It could always use some improvements, but honestly most people are probably tuning in to local media. Local media are the ones that need to make sure they highlight the right information that is more applicable to their region. Some regions will be impacted more by some aspects of the storm than others. The NHC can't go over the impacts for every county and every mile of coastline. That would really be a long advisory and then we would have something to complain about. I don't see their system as being archaic in that regard.
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Bryan Norcross' has a new blog on WU - cypresstx, 9/7/2012, 10:42 pm
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