50 / 50 chance of redevelopment now within 48 hours as of 8pm EDT on Sunday
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 7/28/2013, 9:05 pm
It is definitely looking a lot better and seems to be slowing down some perhaps (although with the developing convection it is hard to tell): http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/91L/91L_floater.html
The circulation is looking very good. Not sure about at the surface, but overall it looks good. It is well setup I think for the overnight hours.
"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN JUL 28 2013
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
1. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN... IS PRODUCING A SMALL BUT CONCENTRATED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS GALE-FORCE WINDS...A FEW HUNDRED MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO INDICATIONS OF A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND A WELL-DEFINED CENTER...ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD LEAD TO THE REFORMATION OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT... OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO PASS WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON TUESDAY.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FORECASTER STEWART"
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml |
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In this thread:
Dorian/Disturbance Morning View -
Jake,
7/28/2013, 12:06 pm- Re: Dorian/Disturbance Morning View - stevemc12, 7/28/2013, 5:58 pm
- 50 / 50 chance of redevelopment now within 48 hours as of 8pm EDT on Sunday - Chris in Tampa, 7/28/2013, 9:05 pm
- Re: Dorian/Disturbance Morning View - stevemc12, 7/28/2013, 5:40 pm
- Re: Dorian/Disturbance Morning View - weatherwindow, 7/28/2013, 12:38 pm
- RE: - sandy, 7/28/2013, 12:21 pm
- Re: RE: - weatherwindow, 7/28/2013, 12:23 pm
- Re: RE: - Chris in Tampa, 7/28/2013, 12:55 pm
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