CaneTalk: Could Carlos be first US cane of season?

Could Carlos be first US cane of season?

Posted by UMRSMASOrtt on 7/10/2009, 11:01 pm

Something to keep an eye on late next week. There should be enough ridging to keep this moving slightly north of due west. Would be shocked if this does not reach cat 3 or cat 4 early next week and it is likely to maintain its intensity largely.

I would not be surprised to see some type of threat to the 50th state in 8-10 days time

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Could Carlos be first US cane of season? - UMRSMASOrtt, 7/10/2009, 11:01 pm

Anti-cyclone forming now over COC - JAC, 7/12/2009, 8:07 am
- Should get shear back down - JAC, 7/12/2009, 8:31 am
Forecast: Cat 3 - JAC, 7/11/2009, 10:48 pm
- Eyewall cloud tops getting higher with pinhole eye - JAC, 7/11/2009, 11:11 pm
  - Re: Eyewall cloud tops getting higher with pinhole eye - Mike_Doran, 7/11/2009, 11:48 pm
Cat 1 - JAC, 7/11/2009, 4:38 pm
- RI? Raw T# = 5.8 - JAC, 7/11/2009, 4:40 pm
NWS.HONOLULU on Carlos - BP31, 7/11/2009, 3:48 pm
EMF look see at Carlos - Mike_Doran, 7/11/2009, 1:54 pm
HI needs to be on their toes for sure - JAC, 7/11/2009, 1:50 pm
- I doubt it - Mike_Doran, 7/11/2009, 2:01 pm
  - Mike Doran: your right - mysterious weakening - JAC, 7/12/2009, 10:06 pm
    - Weird looking secondary eyewall forming to the SE of COC - JAC, 7/12/2009, 10:11 pm
      - Re: Weird looking secondary eyewall forming to the SE of COC - Mike_Doran, 7/13/2009, 9:33 am
  - TUTT over HI could break up Carlos - JAC, 7/11/2009, 11:35 pm
  - Will be riding the edge of 500mb ridge - JAC, 7/11/2009, 11:24 pm
    - GFDL & HWRF Tracks - JAC, 7/11/2009, 11:30 pm
Tight Track- & Intensity-Guidance - JAC, 7/11/2009, 1:35 pm
Sweet Core --> Rapidly Organizing - JAC, 7/11/2009, 1:29 pm
- Impressive Eyewall Development - JAC, 7/11/2009, 1:44 pm
SST & OHC - JAC, 7/11/2009, 8:42 am

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