22N 62W Convection Firing at a Triple Point
Posted by JAC on 6/18/2010, 12:39 pm
Interesting little flare a little farther north than where the middle-level circulation is.

At this point, it is just an MCS firing due to a dry line from the west and a strong shear axis to the south.

However, this might bear watching.

MIMIC-TPW doesn't show a boundary-layer convergence (aka roll).

So if MCS's fire up and become intense, the mesoscale updraft could redirect LL convergence into this area.

Shear is very low to the west.

Air may look dry on WV but it is moderately unstable with hardly any cap.

I am not saying this is a definite thing, just something to keep an eye on.

Hoepfully, it is nothing.



















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Yellow circle up again for 92l - jack ruby, 6/17/2010, 4:56 pm
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