Re: "Naked swirl" runs out ahead of 91L . . .
Posted by
Shalista on 8/1/2011, 1:49 pm
PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
954 AM EDT MON AUG 01 2011
VALID 12Z FRI AUG 05 2011 - 12Z MON AUG 08 2011
...THE MODELS ARE ALSO STRUGGLING TO RESOLVE A POTENTIAL TROPICAL
SYSTEM ORIGINATING FROM AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY IN THE
VICINITY OF 55-60W LONGITUDE.
OPERATIONAL MODEL TRACKS RANGE FROM
THE CENTRAL GULF IN THE 00Z UKMET TO E OF THE FL PENINSULA IN THE
00Z GFS/ECMWF.
YESTERDAYS NHC/HPC COORDINATED TRACK TO THE E OF THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS BY DAY 6 SUN IS NOW EASTWARD OF THE CURRENT MODEL ENVELOPE.
PREFER TO AWAIT TODAYS 17Z COORDINATION FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES... WITH THE UPDATED PRELIM FORECAST DEPICTING ONLY A MODEST
WESTWARD ADJUSTMENT BETWEEN CONTINUITY AND THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF ALONG WITH
STRENGTH SIMILAR TO CONTINUITY.
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