Re: That model is just not budging....
Posted by Gianmarc on 8/21/2011, 8:27 pm
It certainly does appear that Irene is on a collision course with Hispaniola--looks dead set on cutting right across the heart of the island. She'll certainly take a bruising and you're right, that may result in more of a westward jog in the short term. But I still think she will get tugged up the coast by the weakness off the eastern seaboard. Too much heat content Around Cuba and Hispaniola for this thing to not ramp up again after confronting the mountainous terrain ahead of her. Weakening over Hispaniola won't send her west forever.
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GFDL 18Z run continues to take Irene into GOM toward FL panhandle - DTB_2009, 8/21/2011, 7:58 pm
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