Re: In West Pacific, Utor (Labuyo) strengthening significantly as it nears Philippines
Posted by hanna on 8/11/2013, 9:01 am
Nice post!  I really like http://noah.dost.gov.ph/   Still nothing up on http://climatex.ph/ or it could be me.  

JMA  http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/

TY 1311 (UTOR)
Issued at 09:45 UTC, 11 August 2013

Analyses at 11/09 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N15°20'(15.3°)
E124°05'(124.1°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL130km(70NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL280km(150NM)

<Forecast for 11/21 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N16°20'(16.3°)
E122°25'(122.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 925hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(110kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 80m/s(155kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)

<Forecast for 12/09 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N17°35'(17.6°)
E120°20'(120.3°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 950hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(80kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(115kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)

<Forecast for 13/06 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N19°40'(19.7°)
E116°00'(116.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 945hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area ALL390km(210NM)


<Forecast for 14/06 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N21°00'(21.0°)
E112°40'(112.7°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 945hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area ALL430km(230NM)




From JWTC


For now it looks to become a cat 2 highest winds, 103.570 mph / 90 kts, are expected at 14/06Z.

Baguio radar seems to be the one that will be closest to the eye.  For now it looks to me the first landfall will be a little north of  Casiguran, Philippines. For now it looks like it will exit near Vigan City, Philippines. It for now looks like second landfall will be very near Hebei Harbor, China



https://maps.google.com/maps?oe=utf-8&client=firefox-a&q=philippines&ie=UTF-8&ei=pHwHUorzMIqW2gW5x4DwCw&ved=0CAoQ_AUoAg
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In West Pacific, Utor (Labuyo) strengthening significantly as it nears Philippines - Chris in Tampa, 8/11/2013, 3:47 am
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