Re: Super Typhoon Utor now 150 mph (1 minute sustained), gusting to 185 mph according to JTWC
Posted by
DTB_2009 on 8/11/2013, 7:18 pm
The bolded part is not what you want to see in a landfalling system
ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME EXCEPTIONALLY SYMMETRICAL AS THE
CONVECTIVE BANDS HAVE FURTHER DEEPENED AND WRAPPED TIGHTER AROUND A
13-NM PIN-HOLE EYE. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE ABOVE
ANIMATION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 130 KNOTS IS
BASED ON RECENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM RJTD AND PGTW RANGING FROM 127
TO 140 KNOTS.
This cyclone is most likely doing some serious damage.
Latest update:
WDPN31 PGTW 112100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 11W (UTOR) WARNING NR 13//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON (TY) 11W (UTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 109 NM
NORTHEASTWARD OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS TY 11W HAS ACCELERATED AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AS THE
NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM BEGAN TO INTERACT WITH LUZON
ISLAND, CAUSING A DISRUPTION OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. AS A
RESULT, THE PIN-HOLE EYE HAS ONCE AGAIN FILLED IN. THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER WAS JUST OFF THE COAST OF LUZON AT THE VALID TIME
OF THIS WARNING, AND HAS SINCE COME ASHORE. THE CURRENT POSITION IS
BASED ON THE ABOVE ANIMATION AS WELL AS PGTW AND RJTD FIX POSITIONS
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 120 KNOTS
BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 102 TO 140
KNOTS, AND TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE NOTED DEGRADATION OF STRUCTURE. |
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