Remains at 30% at 8pm EDT on July 6th
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 7/6/2013, 9:54 pm
It has its own floater now:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/95L/95L_floater.html

From NHC discussion at 8:05pm EDT on July 6th:

"BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...                                  
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM A 1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 08N35W TO
11N41W TO 16N42W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. WHILE MOST OF THE WAVE
AXIS ITSELF REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN SAHARAN DUST AND DOES NOT
EXHIBIT ANY CONVECTION...THE LOW CENTER LOCATED ON THE SOUTHERN
EXTENT OF THE WAVE AXIS REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ AXIS
AND EXHIBITS A RELATIVELY SMALL AREAL COVERAGE CYCLONIC SPIN ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING
WITHIN VERY CLOSE PROXIMITY...120 NM...TO THE LOW CENTER. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS."

Possible recon on Tuesday when it gets closer to the islands.

"WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0115 PM EDT SAT 06 JULY 2013
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
        VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z JULY 2013
        TCPOD NUMBER.....13-036 AMENDMENT

I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS....................................ADDED.
   1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
   2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
   3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:  POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST
      IN CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 13.3N 57.3W FOR 09/1200Z."
136
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Mid Atlantic, extremely low latitude, yellow circle - Chris in Tampa, 7/5/2013, 10:02 pm
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