Re: 95L models now showing very close to South Florida
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 7/7/2013, 10:52 pm
Before posting this, the NHC updated some stuff with 95L becoming Chantal. They did have 10.0N as the 8pm EDT position but now that has changed to 9.7N. We'll have to see what it is officially at 11pm EDT.

At the time 95L was getting a circle it was still below 8N.

Ivan formed at 9.7N as a depression. Ivan's first NHC discussion in 2004:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/dis/al092004.discus.001.shtml

But then it went further south as a tropical storm.

Ivan map of points:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=2004&storm=09

As for the Bertha's, 2008's was above 12N:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=2008&storm=02

Although 1996's Bertha was 9.8N according to best track when it became a depression.

I just did an image of where Chantal, at 9.7, would rank compared to all other points of where a storm first became a depression or higher:


From Origin Points here: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/models/data.cgi?statistics=1

Note that the way my system works for origin points, Ivan moved further south after forming. So it was stronger further south.

Busy doing a lot of stuff, but based on best track data alone, at 7.2N Hurricane Isidore (10L) - of 1990 became a depression lowest:

http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=1990&storm=10

Important note, I don't know when NHC advisories started. Best track data can be revised.

113
In this thread:
Mid Atlantic, extremely low latitude, yellow circle - Chris in Tampa, 7/5/2013, 10:02 pm
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.