NWS San Juan says:
Posted by
ricksterpr on 7/7/2013, 5:16 pm
ASCAT SATELLITE NICELY CAPTURED A NICE TIGHT CIRCULATION AROUND THE DEVELOPING LOW THIS MORNING (1325Z) AND THE LOCATION OF THE ITCZ TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST. LOW CURRENTLY NEAR 9.5/42.5W MOVING WEST 20 KT OR MORE AND WILL INCREASE SPEED SOME TONIGHT/MON. SO FAR IT IS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ AND ESSENTIALLY SHIELDED FROM THE HUGE MASS OF SAHARAN AIR DIRECTLY NORTH OF IT. ONCE IT LEAVES THE ITCZ IT MUST ENTRAIN AT LEAST SOME OF THAT AIR WHICH IS A STRONG NEGATIVE FACTOR IN ITS DEVELOPMENT...SO IS THE EXPECTED FAST PACE. BUT IT ALREADY HAS A GOOD CIRCULATION AND CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND SHORT TERM DEVELOPMENT SEEMS A GOOD BET. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY PASS SOUTH OF PR/USVI LATE TUE INTO TUE NIGHT AND IS TOO EARLY TO NARROW DOWN WHERE (OR IF) STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR HERE.
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In this thread:
Mid Atlantic, extremely low latitude, yellow circle -
Chris in Tampa,
7/5/2013, 10:02 pm- 95L models now showing very close to South Florida - tvsteve, 7/7/2013, 6:00 am
- Remains at 30% at 8pm EDT on July 6th - Chris in Tampa, 7/6/2013, 9:54 pm
- 20% at 8am EDT on July 6th - Chris in Tampa, 7/6/2013, 8:00 am
- Now 95L - Chris in Tampa, 7/6/2013, 7:53 am
- Re: Mid Atlantic, extremely low latitude, yellow circle - Chris in Tampa, 7/5/2013, 10:29 pm
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