After turning to the north-northwest and then north next week, Lee is expected to make its closest approach to Bermuda around September 14-15. However, long-range forecast skill so far in the future is poor, and the threat to Bermuda is unclear. After Lee passes Bermuda, the hurricane poses a landfall threat to the Canadian Maritime provinces and the Northeast U.S.; the Thursday morning runs of the GFS and European models and their ensembles were showing that a landfall as far west as Massachusetts or as far east as Newfoundland were possibilities. It's too early to rule out a landfall farther to the south along the U.S. East Coast north of Florida, though, and recurvature out to sea without making landfall is also a strong possibility. The steering currents that will be determining Lee's long-range track are not predicted to be particularly strong and well-defined so far, thus the uncertainty in where Lee will go later next week and beyond will remain high for some time, despite the seemingly strong long-range consensus in the ensemble models shown in Figure 1.