CaneTalk: There's a lot of punch with this Trop Wave

There's a lot of punch with this Trop Wave

Posted by JAC on 6/5/2009, 4:07 pm

Convection firing at 20N 50W very close to the TUTT and on the SE side of the TUTT's COC.

Very classic textbook Trop Wave interaction with a TUTT.

May see development along the wave when it gets to the SW side of the TUTT.

I think the models may have missed the boat on this one and we may see something more northeast and earlier than the original runs.

Shear is dropping in the Bahamas and an UL Ridge building in.

That is typical for the west-side of a TUTT.

The setup is still there.

In this thread:

early heads up for carib development - jimw, 6/4/2009, 6:30 am

Re: early heads up for carib development - Ben, 6/7/2009, 12:46 am
There's a lot of punch with this Trop Wave - JAC, 6/5/2009, 4:07 pm
- Re: There's a lot of punch with this Trop Wave - Cape_Fear_NC, 6/6/2009, 9:23 am
  - NHC's discussion this morning - JAC, 6/6/2009, 9:34 am
- NAM shows a good surface-low on Tuesday - JAC, 6/5/2009, 5:21 pm
CMC now on-board at 144 hrs - JAC, 6/5/2009, 2:02 pm
- Don't use the 850mb vorticity! - UMRSMASOrtt, 6/5/2009, 2:17 pm
  - Re: Don't use the 850mb vorticity! - JAC, 6/5/2009, 2:32 pm
    - still not a TC - UMRSMASOrtt, 6/5/2009, 6:46 pm
      - Re: still not a TC - JAC, 6/5/2009, 7:49 pm
        Re: still not a TC - Chris in Tampa, 6/5/2009, 7:57 pm
        Re: still not a TC - JAC, 6/5/2009, 8:10 pm
- Sync'd with GFS - JAC, 6/5/2009, 2:06 pm
Not yet ready to commit to that scenario - UMRSMASOrtt, 6/5/2009, 11:56 am
GFS is pushing this out a couple more days - JAC, 6/5/2009, 8:48 am
GFS makes Cuba Landfall early 6/11 as a TS - JAC, 6/4/2009, 2:30 pm
- Re: GFS makes Cuba Landfall early 6/11 as a TS - BobbiStorm, 6/5/2009, 12:01 pm
  - Re: GFS makes Cuba Landfall early 6/11 as a TS - JAC, 6/5/2009, 1:29 pm
- Forecasted track after Cuba - JAC, 6/4/2009, 3:30 pm
  - Space Shuttle launch on 13th - IndyDave, 6/4/2009, 8:53 pm
    - Re: Space Shuttle launch on 13th - JAC, 6/5/2009, 7:56 pm
      - Re: Space Shuttle launch on 13th - IndyDave, 6/5/2009, 11:03 pm
        Re: Space Shuttle launch on 13th - JAC, 6/5/2009, 11:09 pm
Re: early heads up for carib development - CX, 6/4/2009, 2:23 pm
MJO kicking in - JAC, 6/4/2009, 9:45 am
A weekend appetizer - JAC, 6/4/2009, 7:49 am
- Re: A weekend appetizer - jack ruby, 6/4/2009, 8:05 am
  - Re: A weekend appetizer - JAC, 6/4/2009, 8:15 am
Classic setup - JAC, 6/4/2009, 7:15 am
- 300mb Winds - JAC, 6/4/2009, 7:25 am
Spawned by high-amp trop wave in mid-Atlantic - JAC, 6/4/2009, 6:56 am
- Convection organizing this morning - JAC, 6/4/2009, 7:02 am
  - Embedded in good UL Moisture - JAC, 6/4/2009, 9:13 am

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