CaneTalk: Anti-cyclone lloking better

Anti-cyclone lloking better

Posted by JAC on 6/6/2009, 9:22 am

MCS firing north of it in the higher shear area.

Could help to move the anti-cyclone north into the Carib

FROM NHC:

A BROAD UPPER RIDGE IS CENTERED NEAR 15N106W. NORTHERLY
MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE UPPER ANTICYCLONE
AND SW OF A SHARP MID TO UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE E AND SE U.S.
IS PRODUCING CONVERGENT FLOW AND DEEP LAYERED DRY SINKING AIR
ACROSS SRN MEXICO. THIS UPPER FLOW IS ENCOUNTERING SE
FLOW OFF COLOMBIA...REPRESENTING A LARGE DEFORMATION ZONE IN THE
UPPER PATTERN OVER CENTRAL AMERICA E OF 90W...AS WELL AS THE
IMMEDIATE ADJACENT WATERS OF THE EPAC AND THE SW CARIBBEAN.
ASSOCIATED DIVERGENCE ALOFT IS CONTINUING TO ENHANCE A WIDE AREA
OF CONVECTION ALONG AND NEAR THE ITCZ. DUE TO PERSISTENT UPPER
DIVERGENCE...CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO FLARE OVER THIS AREA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. GLOBAL MODELS SLOWLY LIFT THE
ITCZ NWD INTO THE CARIBBEAN OVER THE WEEKEND...AND DEVELOP A
BROAD AND ELONGATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION FROM THE W COAST OF
COSTA RICA NE INTO THE SW CARIBBEAN...AND SLOWLY DRIFT THIS
FEATURE NWD THROUGH WED. THIS WOULD REPRESENT A VERY WET PATTERN
FOR THE REGION IF THIS EVOLVES AS FORECAST...POSSIBLY MORE
SIGNIFICANT ON THE CARIBBEAN SIDE.

In this thread:

North of Panama - JAC, 6/5/2009, 11:16 pm

Floater & Flare Up - Smidge of White on Funktop - JAC, 6/7/2009, 10:10 pm
- Cell topping 55K-ft - JAC, 6/7/2009, 10:19 pm
  - This may fire for a while, rain-rate is low - JAC, 6/7/2009, 10:22 pm
    - looks impressive on funktop... has all evening - BobbiStorm, 6/7/2009, 11:22 pm
Anti-cyclone poops out - JAC, 6/7/2009, 9:31 am
- strong winds still and poopy anti-cyclone - BobbiStorm, 6/7/2009, 9:43 am
  - Firing back up, north of 15N now, UL winds = 20 knots - JAC, 6/7/2009, 10:14 am
Conditions look pretty hostile right now on WV Loop - jack ruby, 6/6/2009, 9:58 pm
- Re: Conditions look pretty hostile right now on WV Loop - JAC, 6/6/2009, 10:43 pm
  - Highest cell right now is about 45k-ft - JAC, 6/6/2009, 10:56 pm
    - Chris - another image problem - JAC, 6/6/2009, 10:58 pm
      - Should work now - Chris in Tampa, 6/6/2009, 11:32 pm
        Re: Should work now - JAC, 6/7/2009, 9:01 am
        Re: Should work now - Chris in Tampa, 6/7/2009, 1:22 pm
Yellow Box - JAC, 6/6/2009, 5:19 pm
Visual / WV loop - Doorman, 6/6/2009, 4:50 pm
- Doorman..wake up - BobbiStorm, 6/7/2009, 11:34 pm
- Surface Winds - JAC, 6/6/2009, 6:10 pm
Anti-cyclone lloking better - JAC, 6/6/2009, 9:22 am
- Re: Anti-cyclone lloking better - jimw, 6/6/2009, 3:10 pm
  - Is this the one GFS has been talking about? - JAC, 6/6/2009, 6:19 pm
  - Re: Anti-cyclone lloking better - Jake, 6/6/2009, 4:01 pm
    - Does look like shear is dropping - JAC, 6/6/2009, 5:17 pm
    - Re: Anti-cyclone lloking better - skip_wiley, 6/6/2009, 4:31 pm
      - NHC Discussion speaks of NW movement of surface low. - jack ruby, 6/6/2009, 4:37 pm

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