Re: Comparison of surge/waves destructive potential (SDP) between Irene and Hurricane Ike. Part 2
Posted by Stedwoo on 8/26/2011, 1:30 pm
Sorry hit the post button while typing.

If you need any convincing read the NHC Tropical Cyclone report on Hurricane Ike. . Start on Page 5 by reading the storm surge section. There you will read about a storm surge of 15 to 20 feet with high water marks found of 17 feet and Port Arthur, an inland area, receiving 11 foot storm surges. Follow this by going to page 47 to 51 and reading the storm level surges received in areas far from the center of the storm.

Finally go to Coastal Change Hazards: Hurricanes and Extreme Storms or go this this google search of images of the damage to the Bolivar Peninsula following Hurricane Ike..

I discussed earlier about the storm surge being ahead of the storm, especially when it had high SPD numbers. IF you read this article in the Houston Chronicle about the survivors and its victims who will see that flooding started early in the day on the 12th and people knew they were in very severe danger before nightfall on the 12th even though Ike did not make landfall until 2:10 am CDT on the 13th. That means people could not evacuate 18 hours prior to landfall.

I wish my daughter had time to write about SDP as she did a report for her science fair on the SDP (IKE) model doing a comparison of anticipated storm surge damage based on Saffir-Simpson and actual damage done by Hurricane Ike and to be honest it freaked me out how wrong the current SS scale can be in predicting storm surge damage.

Note the SPD and IKE numbers used in this were sourced from the NOAA Ike Wind Analyses report

Stedwoo
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Irene has an extremely dangerous surge, about on par with Katrina at the moment - Chris in Tampa, 8/26/2011, 11:07 am
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