Re: Prapiroon...the latest from Stormy...great posts.
Posted by hanna on 10/9/2012, 1:09 am
It is always great to read what Stormy has to say.





JAM is still being very conservative, not that I blame them.

TY 1221 (PRAPIROON)
Issued at 03:45 UTC, 9 October 2012

Analyses at 09/03 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center position N17°35'(17.6°)
E132°10'(132.2°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL440km(240NM)


<Forecast for 10/03 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N18°05'(18.1°)
E130°35'(130.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W Slowly
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL300km(160NM)


<Forecast for 11/00 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N18°35'(18.6°)
E129°35'(129.6°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slowly
Central pressure 925hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area ALL410km(220NM)


<Forecast for 12/00 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N19°40'(19.7°)
E129°10'(129.2°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW Slowly
Central pressure 920hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area ALL520km(280NM)



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Prapiroon...the latest from Stormy...great posts. - AquaRN, 10/8/2012, 10:31 pm
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