PRAPIROON The JMA is not showing the...
Posted by hanna on 10/9/2012, 1:57 pm
long term track change and imho are being conservative, can you blame them.

TY 1221 (PRAPIROON)
Issued at 15:45 UTC, 9 October 2012


Analyses at 09/15 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center position N18°05'(18.1°)
E132°00'(132.0°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slowly
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL440km(240NM)


<Forecast for 10/15 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N18°55'(18.9°)
E130°40'(130.7°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slowly
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL300km(160NM)


<Forecast for 11/12 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N19°35'(19.6°)
E129°55'(129.9°)
Direction and speed of movement NW Slowly
Central pressure 925hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area ALL410km(220NM)


<Forecast for 12/12 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N20°20'(20.3°)
E130°00'(130.0°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slowly
Central pressure 920hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Radius of probability circle 410km(220NM)
Storm warning area ALL650km(350NM)








The Navy still has Prapiroon heading east and it looks like Iwo To may be saying hello to Prapiroon.

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In this thread:
Prapiroon...the latest from Stormy...great posts. - AquaRN, 10/8/2012, 10:31 pm
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