5/11/11 is an interesting date
Posted by JAC on 5/8/2011, 12:57 pm


DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  0330 AM CDT SUN MAY 08 2011
 
  VALID 111200Z - 161200Z
 
  ...DISCUSSION...
  SRN PORTIONS OF THE WRN STATES UPPER TROUGH WILL BE IN THE PROCESS
  OF EJECTING ENE FROM THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS BY
  TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY /DAY 4/.  00Z ECMWF SOLUTION IS
  PREFERRED IN MAINTAINING STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS/JET AS IT MOVES INTO
  KS/OK/W TX WITH TRIPLE POINT LIKELY EVOLVING OVER SW KS WEDNESDAY
  AFTN.  MAGNITUDE OF FORCING...COOLING MID-LEVEL TEMPS AND 50-60 KTS
  OF SWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH SHOULD LEAD TO
  ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS FROM KS/NEB BORDER SWD INTO NRN TX.  THESE
  STORMS WILL THEN TRANSLATE ENE TOWARD SE NEB...ERN PARTS OF KS/OK
  AND NCNTRL TX WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  AT THIS POINT...DAY 4 APPEARS TO BE
  SETTING UP FOR AN ACTIVE SEVERE EVENT WITH ALL FACETS OF SEVERE
  WEATHER POSSIBLE.  
 
  BEYOND WEDNESDAY...MODEL SPREAD INCREASES FURTHER WITH EVOLUTION OF
  A POSSIBLE CUT-OFF LOW OVER THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGION.  EXACT
  EVOLUTION OF THIS SCENARIO IS NOT CLEAR AND PRECLUDES MENTION OF
  SEVERE WEATHER AREAS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
 
  ..RACY.. 05/08/2011
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In this thread:
Another Possible Severe Event Around May 10 thru 12 - JAC, 5/3/2011, 7:13 am
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