Both items in the ATWO are now on the map
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/29/2013, 8:58 am
ATWO:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

I forgot to account for how big that Central Atlantic wave is. It's got a big spin with it, but it's massive. It would take some time and the NHC doesn't think the winds may cooperate long term.

There is more stuff over Africa, but it may be too far north or head to far north before it has a chance to become the first hurricane. (and the NHC also talks about winds not being favorable perhaps for that one as well long term.)

Satellite:
Atlantic: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html
Africa: http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MSG/PRODUCTS/MPE/index.htm

"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 29 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER WESTERN AFRICA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10
TO 15 MPH...AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM AFTER THE WAVE
MOVES OFF THE COAST ON FRIDAY. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE BEFORE THE ENVIRONMENT BECOMES UNFAVORABLE BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

2. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1000
MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES REMAINS LIMITED. DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE
THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND APPROACHES THE LESSER
ANTILLES. AFTER THAT TIME...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD INHIBIT FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=etwo

FORECASTER AVILA"
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In this thread:
Latest hurricane formations - LawKat, 8/17/2013, 5:32 pm
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