CaneTalk: Re: Waiting for an Eye

Re: Waiting for an Eye

Posted by Target on 10/7/2018, 5:19 pm

I'm a little worried from looking at the convection on visible satellite loop that we could have underestimated the speed that Michael will grow.

The cloud tops south of Cuba seem to be pushing into the stratosphere, so the center pressure may see a faster drop over the next few hours than recently forecast, a rise in the maximum wind speeds should soon follow. An eye may form south of Cuba...

The earlier Michael strengthens the earlier he could pivot during an Eyewall Replacement Cycle. And a pivot could send Michael further towards the West.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.php

In this thread:

We now have Tropical Storm Michael - Beachlover, 10/7/2018, 2:19 pm

What happened to predicted storm surge mapping? - Beachlover, 10/8/2018, 12:36 am
- Re: What happened to predicted storm surge mapping? - Chris in Tampa, 10/8/2018, 1:23 am
  - Re: What happened to predicted storm surge mapping? - Chris in Tampa, 10/8/2018, 1:27 am
    - Re: What happened to predicted storm surge mapping? - Beachlover, 10/8/2018, 1:42 am
Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - beachman80, 10/7/2018, 7:46 pm
NOAA Tides and Currents - Indundation Dashboard - cypresstx, 10/7/2018, 7:39 pm
TAFB: Wave Heights - cypresstx, 10/7/2018, 5:41 pm
Masters & Henson updated blog - cypresstx, 10/7/2018, 4:05 pm
Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - stevemc12, 10/7/2018, 3:43 pm
Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - Beachlover, 10/7/2018, 2:36 pm
- Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - beachman80, 10/7/2018, 2:52 pm
  - Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - James g, 10/7/2018, 3:20 pm
    - Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - Beachlover, 10/7/2018, 4:53 pm
    - Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - Fred, 10/7/2018, 4:36 pm
      - Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - James g, 10/8/2018, 11:30 am
    - Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - beachman80, 10/7/2018, 3:23 pm
      - Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - James g, 10/7/2018, 3:39 pm
      - Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - James g, 10/7/2018, 3:35 pm
        Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - beachman80, 10/7/2018, 3:43 pm
        Re: We now have Tropical Storm Michael - James g, 10/7/2018, 4:05 pm
        Waiting for an Eye - Target, 10/7/2018, 4:48 pm
        Center confirmed - tvsteve, 10/7/2018, 6:19 pm
        Official forecast - Cat 2 - just before landfall near Tallahassee - tvsteve, 10/7/2018, 6:37 pm
        Re: Official forecast - Cat 2 - just before landfall near Tallahassee - Beachlover, 10/7/2018, 8:46 pm
        National Hurricane Center's forecast - Chris in Tampa, 10/7/2018, 8:55 pm
        Re: National Hurricane Center's forecast - Beachlover, 10/7/2018, 9:08 pm
        Re: National Hurricane Center's forecast - James g, 10/8/2018, 12:17 pm
        Re: National Hurricane Center's forecast - Beachlover, 10/8/2018, 12:30 pm
        Re: National Hurricane Center's forecast - Chris in Tampa, 10/7/2018, 9:22 pm
        HWRF: 927mb at Miramar Beach Landfall (Oct 8th 00Z model run) - Target, 10/8/2018, 2:22 am
        Re: Official forecast - Cat 2 - just before landfall near Tallahassee - cypresstx, 10/7/2018, 6:49 pm
        Re: Official forecast - Cat 2 - just before landfall near Tallahassee - cypresstx, 10/7/2018, 7:32 pm
        Re: Waiting for an Eye - Beachlover, 10/7/2018, 4:57 pm
        Re: Waiting for an Eye - Target, 10/7/2018, 5:19 pm
        ERC Pivot East - Target, 10/7/2018, 5:27 pm
        Re: Waiting for an Eye - beachman80, 10/7/2018, 5:05 pm
        Re: Waiting for an Eye - Beachlover, 10/7/2018, 5:39 pm
        Dry Air Over the GOM - Target, 10/7/2018, 7:39 pm

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