Re: What happened to predicted storm surge mapping?
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 10/8/2018, 1:27 am
As for storm surge info, Jeff Masters blog had some images from the SLOSH model:
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Tropical-Storm-Michael-Headed-Gulf-Mexico

They come from this page:
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/FlGulfCoastSurge.asp
From: https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/surge_images.asp

It's an estimate.

From the main page on surge at he Weather Underground site:

"The accuracy of the SLOSH model is advertised as plus or minus 20%."

"IMPORTANT: The MOM storm surge maps on wunderground are a worst case scenario for the entire coast, regardless of where the storm makes landfall. An actual worst-case hurricane will not cause a worst-case storm surge along the entire length of coast portrayed in these images. A hurricane's maximum surge typically occurs over a region about 20 - 50 miles wide near where the right side of the storm's eyewall comes ashore. To see what kind of surge historical hurricane have generated at your coastline of interest, consult our Storm surge animations of historical storms page."

But it's something to look at now before the storm is close enough that they have storm surge imagery and information in the advisory about storm surge.
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We now have Tropical Storm Michael - Beachlover, 10/7/2018, 2:19 pm
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