I don't know what the long term plan is. For the virus to be reduced enough where the risk of getting it would be really low, you need everyone to stay home unless absolutely necessary. Maybe almost to the point where everyone has food delivered to them. I'm talking about a China like lockdown. But the U.S. is not ready for near martial law. Some people would lose their minds. Then you would reset and start contact tracing if you see it again. Like China. Hopefully it would be near zero because borders would need to remain closed unless people went through a mandatory 14 day quarantine to get in. (not a voluntary do it yourself one) But I just don't see the U.S. ever doing that. So it's just going to keep circulating. Until the vaccine is widely administered, where most people have it, and we see the virus decreasing at that point, I don't see people going out to eat, going to the movies, casually shopping for stuff. Flattening the curve is one thing, but that curve would have multiple waves over the next 18 months to two years unless we really knocked it down with a true lockdown. Whether people can get it more than once, and if so, how long you might have some immunity to it will be important too. But in reality, I just don't think we'll see normal anytime soon. If we did a nationwide lockdown for a few months, I guess it's possible we might be able to trace cases again without community spread, or much, but it seems like a tall order. As long as there is community spread, people are going to remain nervous.
The Florida governor remains in denial. He's too busy blaming other states. It's circulating widely in our state and he's worried about people bringing it in more, to the extent there are checkpoints coming in, yet he won't lockdown the entire state. It's absurd. It'll be in many of the nursing homes before he finally relents and does a statewide lockdown. |